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downside seems cushioned by Trump-related anxieties

  • Gold price advances further beyond $2,900 and hits a fresh all-time peak on Tuesday.
  • Trump’s new tariffs and geopolitical risks continue to boost the safe-haven commodity.
  • A modest USD strength prompts some intraday profit-taking around the XAU/USD pair. 

Gold price (XAU/USD) builds on the previous day's breakout momentum above the $2,900 round-figure mark and gains strong follow-through positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday. US President Donald Trump's latest tariffs on commodity imports reignite global trade war fears and lift the safe-haven bullion to a fresh record high, around the $2,942-2,943 area in the last hour. Furthermore, expectations that Trump's protectionist policies would boost inflation turn out to be another factor that underpins the precious metal's status as a hedge against rising prices.

Meanwhile, Friday's upbeat US employment details, along with inflation concerns, leave room for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to hold interest rates steady, which, in turn, lifts the US Dollar (USD) to over a one-week top. Furthermore, overbought conditions on the daily chart prompt some intraday profit-taking around the non-yielding Gold price ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's two-day semi-annual congressional testimony starting this Tuesday. That said, the fundamental backdrop suggests that any corrective slide could be seen as a buying opportunity and remain limited.

Gold price remains well supported by the global flight to safety amid global trade war fears

  • US President Donald Trump signed two proclamations on Monday, introducing 25% tariffs on metals and ending all exclusions on steel and aluminum tariffs first imposed during his first tenure from 2016 to 2020.
  • Adding to this, Trump told reporters that he would announce reciprocal tariffs on other countries in the next two days, propelling the safe-haven Gold price to a fresh record high during the Asian session on Tuesday.
  • Commenting on Middle East tensions, Trump said that Hamas should release all hostages held by midday Saturday, or he would propose canceling the Israel-Hamas ceasefire and "let all hell break loose." 
  • The US Dollar advances to over a one-week high amid expectations that Trump's protectionist policies would reignite inflation in the US and force the Federal Reserve to stick to its hawkish stance and hold rates steady. 
  • A stronger USD, along with overbought conditions on the daily chart, prompts some profit-taking around the XAU/USD amid some repositioning ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony. 
  • Powell's remarks will be closely scrutinized for cues about the Fed's rate-cut path, which, in turn, will influence the near-term USD price dynamics and provide a fresh directional impetus to the commodity.